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Horizon Scanning

A proactive tool used to identify and analyze emerging trends, risks, and opportunities that may shape the future. By detecting early signals of change and considering potential scenarios, organizations can better prepare for uncertainty and make informed strategic decisions.

Key reading: The Futures Toolkit

Identifying Emerging Trends and Signals

  • 1.1What emerging trends or signals have you noticed that could significantly influence the sector or organization? Are there any weak signals (early indicators) that might suggest major changes ahead? Which global, regional, or local trends do you believe are most relevant to our work?(open text)

Opportunities and Risks

  • 2.1What new opportunities do you foresee arising from these emerging trends? What potential risks or disruptions could these trends pose to the organization or sector? Are there specific trends that offer both opportunities and challenges, depending on how they are managed?(open text)

Drivers and Catalysts of Change

  • 3.1What factors (e.g., technological advancements, policy shifts, societal changes) are driving these emerging trends? Are there events or conditions accelerating or amplifying these trends?(open text)

Implications and Impacts

  • 4.1How might these trends affect operations, strategies, or stakeholder expectations? What areas (e.g., funding, partnerships, service delivery) are likely to be most impacted by these changes?(open text)

Monitoring and Preparing for the Future

  • 5.1What indicators or signals should we monitor to track the progression of these trends? What strategies or actions would you recommend to address the identified opportunities and risks?(open text)

Scenario Planning

  • 6.1Considering these trends, what future scenarios could emerge for the organization or sector? What actions can be taken now to prepare for potential future disruptions or opportunities?(open text)

Additional Questions

  • 7.1Are there any trends, signals, or factors not mentioned here that you believe are important to consider? What advice would you give for leveraging Horizon Scanning insights to drive strategic decisions?(open text)