About This Tool
The Delphi Method (also known as the Delphi Opinion Cycle) is a structured communication technique used for gathering expert opinions and achieving consensus through multiple rounds of surveys. Developed by the RAND Corporation in the 1950s, it is widely used in strategic foresight, policy analysis, and decision-making.
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Description
Key Features
Iteration: Multiple rounds refine opinions toward a consensus.
Controlled Feedback: Summarized responses help experts adjust their views.
Expert Judgement: Relies on the knowledge of selected experts rather than raw data alone.
This survey supports the first round of opinion collection in the Delphi method, the open-ended questionnaire. The outcome can then be shared with the experts in two subsequent rounds, for refinement and consensus building, until a final consensus is reached. Read more about the method.
Read more in the The Futures Toolkit and this Article on Delphi by Foresight University.
General Future Trends
Question: What are the most critical emerging trends that will shape this sector over the next decade?
Strategic Priorities
Question: What should be the top three priorities for organizations in this sector to remain competitive and impactful?
Innovation and Technology
Question: Which emerging technologies have the potential to revolutionize operations and outcomes in this sector?
Risk and Resilience
Question: What are the greatest risks facing this sector in the short term (1-3 years) and long term (10+ years)?
Collaboration and Stakeholders
Question: How can organizations in this sector foster collaboration across stakeholders to achieve shared goals?
Sustainability and Ethics
Question: What sustainability practices will be crucial for this sector to adopt in the next decade?